MP Barwell admits: it’ll be Croydon East for me in 2015

Gavin Barwell: on the move (just a little bit)

Gavin Barwell, MP for Croydon Central, has declared himself as a candidate for the Conservative nomination for a parliamentary seat that does not exist (yet).

Barwell told Inside Croydon that “I will apply for Croydon East”.

This is a very early declaration when the Boundary Commission for England will not be providing its final recommendations to the government until October next year.

The boundary changes as proposed, intended to reduce the number of MPs sitting at the House of Commons, also appear likely to assist the Conservatives nationally, mainly at the expense of their Liberal Democrat coalition “partners”, although some changes will also be to the detriment of Labour.

The first set of boundary change proposals have been especially helpful to the Conservatives in Croydon and Sutton, merging Croydon Central with the St Helier area of Sutton, and adding some LibDem wards to the overwhelmingly Tory Croydon South seat. LibDem objections may yet see these proposals altered.

The recent London Assembly elections pointed to an impact of the boundary changes that would, combined with opinion poll shifts, see parliamentary representation in Croydon and Sutton change from two Conservatives, two Liberal Democrat and one Labour seat to four  Conservatives and one Labour seat.

Before becoming an MP in 2010, Barwell had worked closely with Lord Ashcroft, the major Tory party donor who was a controversial figure because of his non-dom tax status.

In his own analysis of the recent London election results, Barwell says, “We would have comfortably won Croydon East.”

The polling districts in Park Hill, central Croydon, South Croydon, Old Town and on the Whitgift estate polled poorly for the Tories. These areas would be in the proposed new Croydon Central and St Helier seat. By contrast, the voters in Croham Valley, Selsdon and Selsdon Vale were stalwart in their Tory support. These all fall in the new Croydon East seat.

It is no wonder then that Barwell has put his claim in early for Croydon East.

With Croydon South’s Richard Ottaway having declared that he will retire from parliament before the next General Election, due in 2015, it means that the local Conservative party will be looking for strong candidates for three other “safe” seats in Croydon and Sutton.

  • Inside Croydon: A news source about Croydon that is not based in Redhill. Do you have an event or business in or around Croydon? Tell us about it by emailing us at inside.croydon@btinternet.com

About insidecroydon

News, views and analysis about the people of Croydon, their lives and political times in the diverse and most-populated borough in London. Based in Croydon and edited by Steven Downes. To contact us, please email inside.croydon@btinternet.com
This entry was posted in Croham, Croydon Central, Croydon South, Gavin Barwell MP, Outside Croydon, Paul Burstow MP, Richard Ottaway MP, Selsdon & Ballards, Tom Brake MP and tagged , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

One Response to MP Barwell admits: it’ll be Croydon East for me in 2015

  1. Interesting analysis and probably spot on but two years is a long time in politics.
    A revolution is slowly emerging in would be voters who will eventually understand it is up to them to decide who they want in office.
    Johnson may hope to replace Cameron: his electoral lies will catch up with him and people will no longer find him funny.
    Cameron might be stabbed by his own lot. He is trying hard to hang himself before that happens.
    Next winter will be very hard, in more ways than one.

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