Two weeks early and most candidates are conceding defeat

Irons under fire: Labour’s officially approved candidate for Croydon East (the police are still investigating the selection process) had lots of support at last night’s meeting

ELECTION SKETCH: As other parties’ candidates in Croydon East have admitted they will lose come July 4, Labour’s shoo-in as a new MP calls her party’s bankrupting of the borough and its part in illegal hacking as ‘a load of nothing’.
KEN TOWL went to the hustings, so that you didn’t have to

I was in search of truth last night, and I found more than I bargained for at the Woodside Baptist Church.

These hustings were being run in collaboration with St Luke’s, the church over the road, and with the Hyderi Islamic Centre, all members of Citizens UK, a politically unaffiliated community activist group. I spoke to church secretary, Neil Scarse, who confided to me that he was undecided between two of the candidates and hoped to decide tonight after hearing them.

He told me that the Labour, Conservative, Green and Liberal Democrat candidates had all accepted Citizens UK’s invitation while the Reform UK candidate hadn’t. Neil did not seem terribly disappointed that Scott Holman, the candidate for Nigel Farage’s dog-whistle racist vanity project private-limited-company-masquerading-as-a-political party was not going to grace his church.

After the smoke and mirrors of Monday’s bizarre non-hustings in Croydon West, a badly disguised campaign rally for Taking the Initiative Party’s Donna Murray-Turner, this was all very civilised. Until it wasn’t.

Galling: LibDem (for now) Andrew Pelling

The candidates, Labour’s Natasha Irons, the Conservative Jason Cummings, Green Peter Underwood and LibDem Andrew Pelling, had been instructed not to criticise each other. This was a well-meant rule, but it ignores the painful fact that, unfortunately, many of our elected representatives are guilty of sub-optimal behaviour and need, sometimes, to be called out on it.

For Pelling, ex-Conservative MP and ex-Labour councillor, the rule was especially galling, given that his whole schtick is that the Conservatives have failed nationally and Labour has failed locally. I wondered how long he would be able to contain himself.

The candidates were asked to introduce themselves, a chance to give a personal side, something beyond their party manifestos, by explaining how they got into politics in the first place.

Cummings posited himself as a man-of-the-people, who had entered the murky world of politics after working for a “faceless corporation that’s just trying to make money”, which is an interesting description of his years managing a Co-Op. Oh, and he was local. Very local, having lived, got married and worked in the constituency. It seemed it was OK to make an oblique criticism of other candidates.

Cummings’  latest leaflet is more explicit: “Labour’s candidate has never lived in Croydon…and sees standing here as a career move”. This was very gentle, almost subliminal, compared to what was to come.

Irons alluded to her past when, as a child of a working-class household with mould on the walls and limited heating, she had grown up unable to believe that “politics was for people like us”, how she was grateful to Labour for providing decent social housing with central heating and how she had been inspired by hearing a speech by Labour MP Oona King.

She came, she said rather pointedly, from “just down the road in Mitcham”. And here she was, on this side of the borough boundary, on stage alongside three middle-aged, middle-class white men, the sort of people that politics has been for, forever.

It was “Super Thursday” said super smooth Pelling, alluding to the fact that two other hustings were taking place across the borough that same evening. Why did he get into politics? Because at school he wasn’t very good at art or dance and so he chose to do something easy.

On reflection, he said, politics wasn’t easy – this was his 17th election here in Croydon – and he wasn’t very good at it. It wasn’t all self-effacing good humour, though He had got the Coulsdon bypass built, got the BRIT School opened and doubled the size of Croydon Council’s pension fund. Again, perhaps the most oblique criticism of the financial acumen, or lack of it, of the recent Labour administration.

He got less oblique. Again, he gave with one hand as he flattered his opponents: Peter Underwood should be on the council, and would be if there was a fairer, more proportional voting system; Jason Cummings was a decent One Nation Tory; Natasha’s Merton wasn’t far away at all. Then he took away with the other: he was glad Natasha was not a “Croydon Labour person”. He had been expelled from Labour for being a whistle-blower. This was a party that “associated itself with the hacking of the press and was not to be trusted in government”. There were a few gasps, and muted applause.

Man of the people: Jason Cummings appeared to change Conservative Party policy on Gaza

Peter Underwood had to follow that. His route into politics came out of a realisation that life was “not fair”, that some people got a leg up while others got kicked down. He mentioned Brexit, but it didn’t seem to land. Perhaps we were all still reeling from his predecessor’s breach of etiquette.

There were questions on youth provision, mental health and housing. There was a remarkable degree of consensus; they were all, unsurprisingly, in favour of youth provision, mental health and housing, even on no-fault evictions. Yes, even Conservative candidate Jason Cummings was in agreement that no-fault evictions should end, even if his party wasn’t.

And then came the Gaza question and, rather than consensus, this elicited a competition to out-empathise the others. Cummings said that he had changed his mind on this. His exact words were: “It’s just civilians being killed. I’d support a ceasefire. What is happening cannot be justified in any way, shape or form.”

Irons called for an immediate ceasefire and raised an assertion that Palestine should be recognised as a state in a two-state solution.

Pelling saw her statehood and and raised it with a ban on weapons sales.

Underwood, with little space left to manoeuvre, said he was proud that his party had been calling for a ceasefire since October and that he believed in a two-state or even a one-state solution, and it was up to the Palestinian people to decide

There was a touch of humour. The candidates were asked what they had done in their youth that might have prepared them for public service. Irons spoke first. She had been a St John’s Ambulance cadet. She could put you in the recovery position.

It was a nice metaphor and a good spontaneous answer that raised an appreciative purr from the audience. Underwood’s more risqué claim that he probably shouldn’t talk about what he got up to in his youth now that he was in a church was rewarded with a laugh. He had been brought up a Jehovah’s Witness and had spent much of his childhood being taken round by his parents knocking on doors. He was still knocking on doors.

Pelling wryly noted that he had mis-spent his youth “getting Conservative councillors elected in this town”, while Cummings rattled off some virtuous-sounding stuff about respecting the value of work and how he had applied this knowledge to his administration of the council’s finances, always mindful that Council Tax came from someone’s work.

He did not allude to his involvement in taking an extra 21% of people’s hard-earned money through Council Tax since 2023. It was characteristic of a low-key performance all-round from Cummings, currently a Croydon councillor and cabinet member for finance, and he was just about to explain why.

The candidates’ carefully rehearsed closing statements were their chance to say whatever they liked, since it would be too late to stop them anyway. Underwood  said the point was that all votes counted. Even if your candidate wouldn’t win, the number of votes they got could have an influence.

Summing up: the Green Party’s Peter Underwood told the hustings audience that all votes counted, even if your choice, or your party, didn’t get enough to win at the election

Pelling took this a stage further. “You can vote with your heart here because opinion polls show that Natasha will get elected. I very much hope she changes Labour in Croydon.”

He alluded again to the hacking of Inside Croydon and how Labour councillors spent more time passing motions criticising the press than they did discussing the borough’s finances.

Irons’ closing speech was dominated by her immediate rebuttal: “Never doubt that a Liberal Democrat will say a load of nothing.”

This wasn’t quite as witty as her previous burst of spontaneity and Pelling was heard to complain, “That’s very condescending.”

“Yeah,” said Irons.

From the back of the stage came the voice of the Hyderi Islamic Centre’s Dr Sarfraz Jeraj: “No condescending remarks, please.”

The last word went to Cummings, and it put the whole evening into perspective.

He did not even ask for our votes. He was resigned to defeat. “Vote for the party and people you want running the country,” he said, “It is unlikely that the party I represent is going to be forming that government. I’d like to be your MP but I don’t think that’s going to happen.”

I found this quite moving. Here we had a politician speaking with absolute candour.

This much raw honesty in a milieu normally characterised by façade and artifice and carefully honed soundbites was powerful and memorable. I don’t think I’ve ever empathised with a Conservative before. There again, maybe Cummings should have bailed out years ago, before they started really fucking up the country.

So there we have it. Whatever Neil decides, and I hope the hustings have helped him decide, three of the candidates have already conceded defeat. We know who the MP for Croydon East is going to be. That decision was made by a little more than a hundred Labour Party members on March 23 at an internal Labour Party hustings at Coloma Convent School.

This is probably not a narrative that Labour welcomes, risking as it does the possibility of complacency on the part of Labour voters or confidence on the part of Green or LibDem-leaning anti-Conservative voters, but it may also inspire people to vote Labour in order to inflict as much damage on a Conservative Party that, at least here in Croydon, appears to have given up the ghost.

UPDATE: This article was amended on June 22 at the request of one of the candidates who now claims that he doesn’t think he will lose the election, although everyone knows that he will

Read more: Scotland Yard’s cyber crime unit investigating Croydon Labour
Read more:
Poundshop politician who puts the ‘sham’ into shambolic
Read more: Voters being taken for granted as ‘battleground’ moves south
Read more: The New Yorker’s take on the damage of 14 years of Tory rule

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This entry was posted in 2024 General Election, Andrew Pelling, Croydon East, Jason Cummings, Ken Towl, Natasha Irons, Peter Underwood and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

23 Responses to Two weeks early and most candidates are conceding defeat

  1. Derek Thrower says:

    Reckon Farage wouldn’t stump up for the bus ticket for Holman to get from Kingston on the SL7.
    Isn’t paying the £500 to lose your deposit enough for a Reform candidate?

  2. yusufaosman says:

    Even under first past the post, if enough people vote for a candidate, that person will get elected. Or is there some rule within fptp that I’m unaware of?

    • Peter Underwood says:

      This was the point of my final speech at this hustings. The Conservatives and LibDems may have conceded defeat but for me the election isn’t over. If enough people vote with their heart and their head and vote Green then Greens can win and we won’t have to put up with just another Labour politician being told what to say and what to do by their party bosses.

      If you want better, then you have to vote for better – VOTE GREEN

  3. A snidey snarkey so-and-so who doesn’t live or work in Croydon is picked by a dodgy selection process under police investigation to become one of our MPs. No wonder people are so suspicious of Starmer’s Labour and what Newman and co did to our borough. Won’t stop Natasha Irons getting in though

    • Tim Ellis says:

      I know there were problems with the first attempt to select a Labour candidate but when the process restarted, it seemed to be a completely fair selection voted by Labour party members in East Croydon. Natasha is only a candidate and the whole of East Croydon get to vote if she should represent them or not. What am I missing about this being dodgy?

      • “What am I missing about this being dodgy?”

        The fact that there’s still a live criminal investigation.

        • Tim Ellis says:

          Isn’t that investigation into the initial and scrapped selection that included Joel Bodmer?

          • And incudes Natasha Irons.

          • Tim Ellis says:

            So the selection process that resulted in Natasha Irons’ candidacy had police scrutiny due to allegations of fraud in the previously scrapped selection process. Makes me think it was more likely to be squeaky clean. The alternative would’ve been to not hold a vote and parachute in Labour head office’s preferred candidate and I could see how that would be described as unfair. What would have been a better way to do it? Were other party’s candidates selected with such external scrutiny? I doubt there were many selections for any party across the country that were scrutinised to the same level. I’m impressed they managed to do it so cleanly after such a shambles only months before.

            This is why I asked what am I missing?

          • You appear to be missing quite a lot.

            Not least that this remains a live criminal investigation.

            And there was an imposed short-list, over which the members had no say. So even by the time they got to March, it was a like-it-or-lump-it choice.

            And no party official ever released the voting figures for the selection. So yeah, squeaky clean in your eyes.

            Until the police conclude their investigation, there are many who are avoiding making any conclusions.

  4. Johnny Dowling says:

    Perfect description – “Nigel Farage’s dog-whistle-racist-vanity-project-private-limited-company-masquerading-as-a-political party…” *chef kiss*

  5. Carl Lucas says:

    Given that Irons seems to think criminality and bankruptcy is nothing I’m not really holding much hope for her as an MP.

  6. Peter Underwood says:

    Just to be very clear about this – I did not, and would not concede that I wouldn’t win. I believe the election isn’t over until every vote is cast and counted. The polling may suggest that labour are currently the favourites but they also say that a week is a long time in politics and it’s nearly two weeks until election day. A lot could happen between now and then.

    As someone else has said, under our election system the person with the most votes is elected. I will keep campaigning for every vote right up until the end.

  7. Ken Towl says:

    Sorry, Peter, if I inferred too much from your assertion that it was worth voting because even if your candidate loses they can influence the winner. This sounded to me, in the context of the final appeal for votes, when Jason Cummings said he was unlikely to become the MP and Andrew Pelling said that it was clear that Natasha Irons was going to win, like an intelligent appeal to anti-Tory voters to vote with their hearts (and thus for you) since Labour had it in the bag anyway.

    • Peter Underwood says:

      It is in my nature that if I believe the cause is right I don’t give up and I don’t concede defeat. I will keep fighting for every vote and I will keep fighting for local people and to make our world a better, healthier, and happier place to be.

      In my final speech I was making the point that every vote counts and people should vote for the party/candidate they believe in. This is mainly because this is what I’ve always believed, but in a contest where the Conservatives and LibDems have said they’re not expecting to win it becomes even more important that people vote Green – otherwise we will just end up with another Labour MP who is told what to say and how to vote by their party.

  8. To quote the Bonzo Dog Band, “no matter who you vote for, the government always gets in”. With Starmer, we’ll hardly notice the difference between him and anyone else who’s been in number 10 since 2010 (or 1997 for that matter)

    • You’re showing your age oh-so prolific ICer. Innes and Stanshall are dead but, amazingly, Roger Ruskin Spear isn’t! I understand he isn’t a candidate on 4th July.

    • Thanks for this IC – without this sort of excellent coverage we wouldn’t have any effing idea. Mind you, since the days of the big beasts of the Labour and Conservative parties, I have no idea what the corrent leaders actually believe in, apart from getting elected and whatever they think we want to hear! Wotsisname whose dad was a ‘toolmaker’ doesn’t know what a woman is and the other guy gives every appearance of being a man-in-a (too tight) suit.

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